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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Cow Hollow Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075012802 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,027 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 06075012802 sits in the Cow Hollow area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.9/10. Population here is 2,027. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 15% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 64% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units935
Renter share75.1%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Cow Hollow
Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#202 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very Low
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#199 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very Low
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,974 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7984, -122.4385 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cow Hollow scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Cow Hollow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cow Hollow risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.9This tracttract 0128029.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cow Hollow. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cow Hollow

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 41% above the San Francisco average.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Disability prevalence runs 16.3% against 31.5% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075012802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075012802?

Census tract 06075012802 in the Cow Hollow neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075012802?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075012802?

3.8% of residents in tract 06075012802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,027.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075012802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 1th, minority 45th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 06075012802 considered part of Cow Hollow?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075012802 fall within Cow Hollow (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075012802 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075012802 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075012802 scores 8.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075012802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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