Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Parkmerced Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075033203 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,313 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06075033203 is a census tract in the Parkmerced area of San Francisco, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,313 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 42% Owners 9%

Tract context

Occupied units1,589

Renter share91.4%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate16.0%

Median income$74,671

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7159, -122.4783 · click any tract to drill in

Why Parkmerced scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.0% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$2,619 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Parkmerced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Parkmerced. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.9%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
26.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Parkmerced

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. 91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $74,671 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,619, close to the San Francisco average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075033203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075033203?

Census tract 06075033203 in the Parkmerced neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075033203?

Median gross rent is $2,619/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075033203?

16.0% of residents in tract 06075033203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,313.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075033203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 34th, minority 79th, housing 70th.

Is tract 06075033203 considered part of Parkmerced?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075033203 fall within Parkmerced (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075033203 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075033203 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075033203 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075033203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.