Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075025403 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,244 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 9.5/10, tract 06075025403 in the St. Mary's Park area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,244 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.5

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 25% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,380

Renter share48.6%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate9.2%

Median income$128,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7338, -122.4206 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Mary's Park scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.2% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$2,663 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How St. Mary's Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
29%Grade B
0%Grade C
36%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within St. Mary's Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.5%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
18.8%Food insecurity
15.2%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
29.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Mary's Park

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Average gross rent is $2,663, close to the San Francisco average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $128,947. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075025403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075025403?

Census tract 06075025403 in the St. Mary's Park neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075025403?

Median gross rent is $2,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075025403?

9.2% of residents in tract 06075025403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,244.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075025403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 58th, minority 83th, housing 72th.

Is tract 06075025403 considered part of St. Mary's Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075025403 fall within St. Mary's Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075025403 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075025403 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075025403 scores 9.5/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075025403 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.