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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Francisco

Tract 06075026003 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,920 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 06075026003 runs through the St. Mary's Park area of San Francisco. With 4,920 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,986 monthly, set against $99,044 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,393
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$99,044

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In St. Mary's Park
High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#71 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#4,313 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7196, -122.4288 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Mary's Park scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,986 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How St. Mary's Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
St. Mary's Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 026003San Francisco: 9.79.7San Franciscoparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within St. Mary's Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Mary's Park

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Francisco County average of 7.0 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 99% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075026003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075026003?

Census tract 06075026003 in the St. Mary's Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075026003?

Median gross rent is $1,986/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075026003?

7.9% of residents in tract 06075026003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,920.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075026003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 43th, minority 88th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 06075026003 considered part of St. Mary's Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075026003 fall within St. Mary's Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075026003 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075026003 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075026003 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075026003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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