Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075026003 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,920 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 06075026003 sits in the St. Mary's Park area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,393

Renter share30.7%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate7.9%

Median income$99,044

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7196, -122.4288 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Mary's Park scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.9% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,986 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How St. Mary's Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
99%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within St. Mary's Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.4%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
16.4%Food insecurity
11.2%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Mary's Park

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. Average gross rent is $1,986, 20% below the San Francisco average.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $99,044.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075026003

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075026003?

Census tract 06075026003 in the St. Mary's Park neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075026003?

Median gross rent is $1,986/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075026003?

7.9% of residents in tract 06075026003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,920.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075026003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 43th, minority 88th, housing 50th.

Is tract 06075026003 considered part of St. Mary's Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075026003 fall within St. Mary's Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075026003 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075026003 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075026003 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075026003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.