Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075026002 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,683 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06075026002 sits in the St. Mary's Park area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 3,683 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 14% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,038

Renter share24.4%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate13.1%

Median income$119,038

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7261, -122.4263 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Mary's Park scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.1% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$3,184 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How St. Mary's Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
88%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within St. Mary's Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.1%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
18.1%Food insecurity
13.9%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
14.2%Frequent mental distress
30.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Mary's Park

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $119,038 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $3,184, 29% above the San Francisco average.

Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075026002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075026002?

Census tract 06075026002 in the St. Mary's Park neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075026002?

Median gross rent is $3,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075026002?

13.1% of residents in tract 06075026002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,683.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075026002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 67th, minority 80th, housing 70th.

Is tract 06075026002 considered part of St. Mary's Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075026002 fall within St. Mary's Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075026002 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075026002 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075026002 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075026002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.