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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: High

9 census tracts · pop 39,110 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.4/10 · range 8.7–9.9

St. Mary's Park is a 9-tract neighborhood of San Francisco, CA, population 39,110. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.4/10, placing it in the High tier. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. Cost burden runs 37% against 25.1% citywide, putting St. Mary's Park 11.8% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The 9 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 8.7 to 9.9, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. At $2,708 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of San Francisco commands.

That places it #28 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco. For a like-for-like read, Duboce Triangle and Telegraph Hill score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $153,223.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.4
High
9 tracts · population-weighted
St. Mary's Park vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.9% +47%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$2,708 +9%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$153,223 +8%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
7.5% -29%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
36.8% -40%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Mary's Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 8.7–9.9

Why St. Mary's Park scores 9.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
7.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.6 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

St. Mary's Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

St. Mary's Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.4St. Mary's ParkNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in St. Mary's Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 8.7 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in St. Mary's Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075026003 9.9 4,920 46% $1,986
06075026002 9.9 3,683 42% $3,184
06075025200 9.6 5,457 38% $2,485
06075025600 9.5 5,027 49% $2,468
06075025403 9.5 4,244 49% $2,663
06075025401 9 3,819 21% $2,750
06075025402 9 3,294 50% $2,484
06075025300 8.9 4,545 17% $3,088
06075021800 8.7 4,121 19% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in St. Mary's Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About St. Mary's Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for St. Mary's Park?

St. Mary's Park scores 9.4/10 (High tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does St. Mary's Park compare to San Francisco overall?

St. Mary's Park scores 0.5 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,708 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in St. Mary's Park?

Average gross rent in St. Mary's Park is $2,708/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of St. Mary's Park residents are renters?

37% of St. Mary's Park households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 39,110 residents.
Q5

Is St. Mary's Park a high social-vulnerability area?

St. Mary's Park sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in St. Mary's Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in St. Mary's Park is census tract 06075026003 (score 9.9/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.7 to 9.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is St. Mary's Park for landlords?

St. Mary's Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.4/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of St. Mary's Park?

St. Mary's Park has 39,276 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34.3%), Hispanic / Latino (31%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (24.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near St. Mary's Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to St. Mary's Park.

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