Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

St. Mary's Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

9 census tracts · pop 39,110 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 4.7–5.7

St. Mary's Park is a white-hispanic neighborhood in San Francisco with 9 census tracts and a population of 39,110 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 37% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,708/month sits 9% higher than the San Francisco citywide average ($2,476).

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

9 tracts · population-weighted

St. Mary's Park vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

36.9% +47%

San Francisco: 25.1%

Average gross rent

$2,708 +9%

San Francisco: $2,476

Average HH income

$153,223 +8%

San Francisco: $141,446

Poverty rate

7.5% -29%

San Francisco: 10.6%

Renter share

36.8% -40%

San Francisco: 61.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Mary's Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 4.7–5.7

Why St. Mary's Park scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts

8.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts

9.8

Rent control risk

37% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

37% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Economic stress

7.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts

1.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.6 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

St. Mary's Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in St. Mary's Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 4.7 to 5.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.7 5.7 5.3 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

9 tracts in St. Mary's Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06075026003	5.7	4,920	46%	$1,986
06075026002	5.7	3,683	42%	$3,184
06075025200	5.3	5,457	38%	$2,485
06075025600	5.2	5,027	49%	$2,468
06075025403	5.2	4,244	49%	$2,663
06075025402	4.9	3,294	50%	$2,484
06075025300	4.8	4,545	17%	$3,088
06075025401	4.8	3,819	21%	$2,750
06075021800	4.7	4,121	19%	$3,501

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 37%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 68%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in St. Mary's Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.7%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
10.2%SNAP enrollment
7.7%No health insurance
25.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About St. Mary's Park

What is the eviction-risk score for St. Mary's Park?

St. Mary's Park scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does St. Mary's Park compare to San Francisco overall?

St. Mary's Park scores 4.5 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.7/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,708 vs $2,476.

What is the average rent in St. Mary's Park?

Average gross rent in St. Mary's Park is $2,708/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of St. Mary's Park residents are renters?

37% of St. Mary's Park households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 39,110 residents.

Is St. Mary's Park a high social-vulnerability area?

St. Mary's Park sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in St. Mary's Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in St. Mary's Park is census tract 06075026003 (score 5.7/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.7, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is St. Mary's Park for landlords?

St. Mary's Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of St. Mary's Park?

St. Mary's Park has 39,276 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34.3%), Hispanic / Latino (31%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (24.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near St. Mary's Park

5.7 Silver Terrace 8 tracts · pop 34,293 5.1 Sunnyside 5 tracts · pop 27,855 4.9 Diamond Heights 7 tracts · pop 27,542 5.9 Visitacion Valley 6 tracts · pop 18,564 5.5 Potrero Terrace 11 tracts · pop 34,530 5.4 Outer Mission 7 tracts · pop 32,346

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to St. Mary's Park.

5.2 Russian Hill 7 tracts · pop 19,794 5.2 Midtown Terrace 2 tracts · pop 7,956 5.2 Polk Gulch 7 tracts · pop 19,044 5.2 Ocean View 4 tracts · pop 15,265 5.2 Sunset District 2 tracts · pop 10,183 5.3 Duboce Triangle 14 tracts · pop 44,330

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