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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077000803 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 5,845

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 06077000803 in Stockton, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 26% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,408
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$106,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 77 tracts In Stockton
Very Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#6,893 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9355, -121.3094 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stockton
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,833 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stockton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stockton
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stockton
7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stockton risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0008037.1Stocktonparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,833, 16% above the Stockton average.

Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $106,458. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077000803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077000803?

Census tract 06077000803 in Stockton scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077000803?

Median gross rent is $1,833/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077000803?

6.9% of residents in tract 06077000803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,845.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077000803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 60th, minority 95th, housing 59th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077000803 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077000803 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077000803 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Stockton at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 06077000803 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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