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Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077002202 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 5,494 · 55% of tract blocks fall in Stockton

Tract 06077002202 sits in Stockton eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.5/10. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$51,119

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 77 tracts In Stockton
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#2,547 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,413 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9333, -121.2573 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stockton
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stockton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stockton
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stockton
7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stockton risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.5This tracttract 0022027.1Stocktonparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $51,119 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%. It sits 1.7 points above the San Joaquin County average of 6.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.2/10.

Disability prevalence runs 45.8% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $1,401, 11% below the Stockton average. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077002202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077002202?

Census tract 06077002202 in Stockton scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077002202?

Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077002202?

33.0% of residents in tract 06077002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,494.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077002202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 95th, minority 96th, housing 92th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077002202 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077002202 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077002202 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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