Census Tract · Ranked #798 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077003312 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,095

How risky is Stockton for landlords? Census tract 06077003312 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,224 a month against an average household income of $29,435 a year, roughly 50% of income at the averages. Renters make up 90% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.7

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 67% Stable renters 23% Owners 10%

Tract context

Occupied units926

Renter share89.7%

SVI overall0.99

Poverty rate34.6%

Median income$29,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9956, -121.3015 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Stockton

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

34.6% poverty · this tract

8.6

Supply constraint

$1,224 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Stockton

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Stockton

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Stockton

7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

33.2%Housing insecurity
20.8%Utility-shutoff threat
44.8%Food insecurity
47.2%SNAP enrollment
22.8%Transit barriers
21.2%No health insurance
23.2%Frequent mental distress
45.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stockton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077003312

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003312?

Census tract 06077003312 in Stockton scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077003312?

Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003312?

34.6% of residents in tract 06077003312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,095.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 92th, housing 97th.

What share of households in tract 06077003312 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077003312 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077003312 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.