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Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077003312 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,095

With a score of 8.5/10, tract 06077003312 in Stockton, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 67% Stable renters 23% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units926
Renter share89.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate34.6%
Median income$29,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 77 tracts In Stockton
Elevated
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#2,547 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,413 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9956, -121.3015 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stockton
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
34.6% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stockton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stockton
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stockton
7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stockton risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.5This tracttract 0033127.1Stocktonparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%. SNAP participation runs 47.2% against 15.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $29,435, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, economic stress reads 8.6/10. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Disability prevalence runs 45.3% against 31.5% nationally.

At $1,224 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Stockton commands. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Nationally it ranks #5,413 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077003312

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003312?

Census tract 06077003312 in Stockton scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077003312?

Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003312?

34.6% of residents in tract 06077003312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,095.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 92th, housing 97th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077003312 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077003312 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077003312 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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