Presidio Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

The voucher gap is 64.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.

Average gross rent is $2,857, 15% above the Tracy average. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.