Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Tanforan Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Bruno

Tract 06081604102 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,164 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 06081604102 covers part of the Tanforan area of San Bruno, CA, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,164 residents. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.4/10.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 42% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units1,634

Renter share78.1%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate8.8%

Median income$102,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Bruno and the region

Centroid at 37.6333, -122.4257 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tanforan scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Bruno

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.8% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,683 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Bruno

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Bruno

7.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Bruno

5.1

How Tanforan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

33%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.2%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
13.7%Frequent mental distress
21.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tanforan

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.1/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.9/10.

SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. Against the San Mateo County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,683, close to the San Bruno average.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $102,391.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081604102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081604102?

Census tract 06081604102 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081604102?

Median gross rent is $2,683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081604102?

8.8% of residents in tract 06081604102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,164.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081604102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 18th, minority 84th, housing 67th.

Is tract 06081604102 considered part of Tanforan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081604102 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06081604102 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081604102 compare to San Bruno overall?

Tract 06081604102 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of San Bruno at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno

Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.