Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Tanforan Eviction Risk: Lower , San Bruno
Tract 06081604104 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,862 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 06081604104 in the Tanforan neighborhood of San Bruno ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,862 residents. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,187 a month against an average household income of $125,064 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,182
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$125,064
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Bruno and the region
Centroid at 37.6290, -122.4139 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tanforan scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Bruno
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,187 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Bruno
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Bruno
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Bruno
5.1
How Tanforan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tanforan
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Bruno, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081604104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081604104?
Census tract 06081604104 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081604104?
Median gross rent is $2,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081604104?
3.5% of residents in tract 06081604104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,862.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081604104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 43th, minority 87th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 06081604104 considered part of Tanforan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081604104 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081604104 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081604104 compare to San Bruno overall?
Tract 06081604104 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of San Bruno at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno
Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related