9 census tracts · pop 38,656 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10
· range 6.3–8.4
Tanforan is a 9-tract neighborhood of San Bruno, CA and houses 38,656 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs about half against 31.9% citywide, putting Tanforan 17.3% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 9 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.3 to 8.4, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.7/10.
At $2,554 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of San Bruno commands. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $121,558. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
9 tracts · population-weighted
Tanforan vs San BrunoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tanforan
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.6%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
10.3%No health insurance
27.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Tanforan
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tanforan?
Tanforan scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tanforan compare to San Bruno overall?
Tanforan scores 0.3 points higher than San Bruno overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,554 vs $2,773.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tanforan?
Average gross rent in Tanforan is $2,554/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tanforan residents are renters?
53% of Tanforan households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in San Bruno). The neighborhood has 38,656 residents.
Q5
Is Tanforan a high social-vulnerability area?
Tanforan sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Tanforan have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Tanforan is census tract 06081602202 (score 8.4/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.3 to 8.4, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Tanforan for landlords?
Tanforan carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Bruno as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Tanforan?
Tanforan has 37,927 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (27.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
