Neighborhood · San Bruno, CA

Tanforan Eviction Risk: Lower

9 census tracts · pop 38,656 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 2.6–4.7

Tanforan is a hispanic-asian neighborhood in San Bruno with 9 census tracts and a population of 38,656 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,554/month sits 8% lower than the San Bruno citywide average ($2,773).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

9 tracts · population-weighted

Tanforan vs San Bruno How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.2% +54%

San Bruno: 31.9%

Average gross rent

$2,554 -8%

San Bruno: $2,773

Average HH income

$121,558 -11%

San Bruno: $135,976

Poverty rate

6.8% +32%

San Bruno: 5.1%

Renter share

53.4% +41%

San Bruno: 37.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tanforan and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 2.6–4.7

Why Tanforan scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts

7.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 6.6–7.0 across tracts

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.9 across tracts

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

53% renter households · Range 7.9–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.1–5.3 across tracts

5.2

Economic stress

6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts

1.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–3.5 across tracts

2.7

Risk score comparison

Tanforan vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Tanforan?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.1 points from 2.6 to 4.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

4.7 4.4 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

9 tracts in Tanforan

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06081602202	4.7	3,142	54%	$2,707
06081602201	4.4	4,761	56%	$2,391
06081602300	4	4,419	44%	$2,806
06081602400	3.9	7,636	58%	$2,650
06081604102	3.6	3,164	46%	$2,683
06081604103	3	4,344	55%	$2,593
06081604104	2.8	3,862	49%	$2,187
06081604200	2.6	4,055	54%	$2,163
06081604000	2.6	3,273	10%	$2,817

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 35%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 74%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tanforan

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.6%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
10.3%No health insurance
27.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Tanforan

What is the eviction-risk score for Tanforan?

Tanforan scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Tanforan compare to San Bruno overall?

Tanforan scores 4.7 points lower than San Bruno overall (8.3/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,554 vs $2,773.

What is the average rent in Tanforan?

Average gross rent in Tanforan is $2,554/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Tanforan residents are renters?

53% of Tanforan households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in San Bruno). The neighborhood has 38,656 residents.

Is Tanforan a high social-vulnerability area?

Tanforan sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Tanforan have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tanforan is census tract 06081602202 (score 4.7/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.6 to 4.7, a spread of 2.1 points.

How safe is Tanforan for landlords?

Tanforan carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Bruno as a whole (8.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Tanforan?

Tanforan has 37,927 residents (Hispanic-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (27.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tanforan

3.3 Burlingame Village 5 tracts · pop 22,362 4.4 Serramonte 5 tracts · pop 22,781 3.5 Pacific Manor 2 tracts · pop 10,072 4.1 Edgemar 6 tracts · pop 32,540 4.2 Bayshore 3 tracts · pop 13,509 2.6 Burlingame Hills 3 tracts · pop 17,266

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