Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Tanforan Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Bruno

Tract 06081604000 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,273 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 06081604000 covers part of the Tanforan area of San Bruno, CA, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,273 residents. Cost burden runs 10% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 15% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,203
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$152,448

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Tanforan
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 10 tracts In San Bruno
Very Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#6,559 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Bruno and the region

Centroid at 37.6234, -122.4207 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tanforan scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Bruno
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,817 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Bruno
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Bruno
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Bruno
5.1

How Tanforan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tanforan risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 6040006.9San Brunoparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tanforan

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Against the San Mateo County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $2,817, close to the San Bruno average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $152,448.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081604000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081604000?

Census tract 06081604000 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081604000?

Median gross rent is $2,817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081604000?

3.0% of residents in tract 06081604000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,273.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081604000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 19th, minority 69th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 06081604000 considered part of Tanforan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081604000 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081604000 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081604000 compare to San Bruno overall?

Tract 06081604000 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Bruno at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno

Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related