Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
El Encanto Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goleta
Tract 06083002909 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 5,462 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
06083002909 is a census tract in the El Encanto Heights area of Goleta, CA. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,462. Average gross rent is $3,501, 44% above the Goleta average.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,687
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$127,673
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goleta and the region
Centroid at 34.4364, -119.8865 · click any tract to drill in
Why El Encanto Heights scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1
How El Encanto Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in El Encanto Heights
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $127,673, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
Against the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. The voucher gap is 15.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083002909
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002909?
Census tract 06083002909 in the El Encanto Heights neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083002909?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002909?
7.4% of residents in tract 06083002909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,462.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002909?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 52th, minority 70th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 06083002909 considered part of El Encanto Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06083002909 fall within El Encanto Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06083002909 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06083002909 compare to Goleta overall?
Tract 06083002909 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Goleta at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goleta
Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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