Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Goleta Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06083002914 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 3,097 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Goleta
Tract 06083002914 sits in Goleta, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. Population here is 3,097. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,362
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$127,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goleta and the region
Centroid at 34.4460, -119.8231 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goleta scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,515 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1
How Goleta compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goleta
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. Against the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
Housing insecurity runs 6.0% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083002914
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002914?
Census tract 06083002914 in Goleta scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083002914?
Median gross rent is $2,515/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002914?
3.5% of residents in tract 06083002914 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,097.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002914?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 21th, minority 52th, housing 76th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06083002914 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06083002914 compare to Goleta overall?
Tract 06083002914 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Goleta at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goleta
Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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