Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Goleta Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06083002932 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 2,321 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Goleta
Here is how census tract 06083002932, in Goleta, looks to a landlord: a 4.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,321. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.
About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,806 a month against an average household income of $121,328 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units837
Renter share39.9%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$121,328
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goleta and the region
Centroid at 34.4805, -120.0289 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goleta scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,806 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1
How Goleta compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goleta
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goleta, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Santa Barbara County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083002932
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002932?
Census tract 06083002932 in Goleta scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083002932?
Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002932?
6.7% of residents in tract 06083002932 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,321.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002932?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 32th, minority 65th, housing 72th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06083002932 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06083002932 compare to Goleta overall?
Tract 06083002932 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Goleta at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goleta
Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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