Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Goleta Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06083002932 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 2,321 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Goleta
Census tract 06083002932 covers part of Goleta, CA, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,321. Against Santa Barbara County at 51.2%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units837
Renter share39.9%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$121,328
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goleta and the region
Centroid at 34.4805, -120.0289 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goleta scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,806 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1
How Goleta compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goleta
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $1,806 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Goleta commands. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Against the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $121,328, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083002932
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002932?
Census tract 06083002932 in Goleta scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083002932?
Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002932?
6.7% of residents in tract 06083002932 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,321.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002932?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 32th, minority 65th, housing 72th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06083002932 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06083002932 compare to Goleta overall?
Tract 06083002932 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Goleta at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goleta
Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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