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Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Goleta Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 06083002906 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 4,190

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06083002906 (Goleta, California) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #35,065 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,146 a month while the average household earns $162,022 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 11% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$162,022

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Goleta
Very Low
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#83 of 108 tracts In Santa Barbara
Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#7,168 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goleta and the region

Centroid at 34.4475, -119.8460 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goleta scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,146 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1

How Goleta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goleta risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 002906Goleta: 7.87.8Goletaparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goleta

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goleta, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Barbara County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083002906

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002906?

Census tract 06083002906 in Goleta scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06083002906?

Median gross rent is $3,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002906?

3.3% of residents in tract 06083002906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,190.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 15th, minority 56th, housing 29th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06083002906 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06083002906 compare to Goleta overall?

Tract 06083002906 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Goleta at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goleta

Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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