Neighborhood · San Jose, CA

Alum Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate

11 census tracts · pop 58,917 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 2.4–6.3

Alum Rock is a hispanic-asian neighborhood in San Jose with 11 census tracts and a population of 58,917 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,558/month sits 4% lower than the San Jose citywide average ($2,669).

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

11 tracts · population-weighted

Alum Rock vs San Jose How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

60.0% +99%

San Jose: 30.1%

Average gross rent

$2,558 -4%

San Jose: $2,669

Average HH income

$115,830 -18%

San Jose: $141,565

Poverty rate

9.9% +26%

San Jose: 7.9%

Renter share

38.3% -13%

San Jose: 44.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alum Rock and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 11 tracts span score 2.4–6.3

Why Alum Rock scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.6–8.5 across tracts

8.2

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 3.8–9.5 across tracts

8.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–9.0 across tracts

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 3.3–8.5 across tracts

7.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.6–8.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.1–5.3 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.6 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Alum Rock vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Alum Rock?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.9 points from 2.4 to 6.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.3 5.4 5.0 4.8 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.1 3.6 2.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

11 tracts in Alum Rock

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06085503713	6.3	3,331	57%	$1,759
06085504001	5.4	5,085	52%	$2,077
06085504002	5	6,385	58%	$2,441
06085503802	4.8	7,937	71%	$2,768
06085503902	4.4	6,393	58%	$2,316
06085503508	4.3	5,982	62%	$2,922
06085503510	4.3	4,565	63%	$2,246
06085503903	4.3	3,083	46%	$2,228
06085504102	4.1	5,730	54%	$2,919
06085504101	3.6	4,490	79%	$2,419
06085504201	2.4	5,936	53%	$3,325

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 11 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 59%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 57%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 71%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Alum Rock

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

18.2%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
22.5%Food insecurity
17.3%SNAP enrollment
15.5%No health insurance
31.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Alum Rock

What is the eviction-risk score for Alum Rock?

Alum Rock scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 11 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Alum Rock compare to San Jose overall?

Alum Rock scores 4.8 points lower than San Jose overall (9.2/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,558 vs $2,669.

What is the average rent in Alum Rock?

Average gross rent in Alum Rock is $2,558/month (pop-weighted across 11 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Alum Rock residents are renters?

38% of Alum Rock households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in San Jose). The neighborhood has 58,917 residents.

Is Alum Rock a high social-vulnerability area?

Alum Rock sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Alum Rock have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Alum Rock is census tract 06085503713 (score 6.3/10). Across the 11 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.4 to 6.3, a spread of 3.9 points.

How safe is Alum Rock for landlords?

Alum Rock carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 11 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Jose as a whole (9.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Alum Rock?

Alum Rock has 58,151 residents (Hispanic-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Alum Rock

5.6 Little Portugal 3 tracts · pop 12,938 4.2 Berryessa 8 tracts · pop 37,652 4.9 Little Saigon 12 tracts · pop 49,029 4.6 Notting Hill - Royal Crest 8 tracts · pop 47,033 4.6 Meadowfair 10 tracts · pop 49,823 5.2 Naglee Park 6 tracts · pop 22,315

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Jose

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Alum Rock.

4.4 Gardner 7 tracts · pop 25,303 4.4 Qmunity District 1 tracts · pop 4,483 4.5 Edenvale 11 tracts · pop 53,947 4.5 Civic Center 3 tracts · pop 17,698 4.3 Chantilley 2 tracts · pop 6,074 4.3 Washington 4 tracts · pop 20,743

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