Neighborhood · San Jose, CA

Dry Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 25,417 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.7–3.9

Dry Creek is a diverse neighborhood in San Jose with 4 census tracts and a population of 25,417 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,387/month sits 27% higher than the San Jose citywide average ($2,669).

Risk score

3.8

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Dry Creek vs San Jose How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.0% +46%

San Jose: 30.1%

Average gross rent

$3,387 +27%

San Jose: $2,669

Average HH income

$200,402 +42%

San Jose: $141,565

Poverty rate

3.8% -52%

San Jose: 7.9%

Renter share

16.0% -64%

San Jose: 44.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dry Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.7–3.9

Why Dry Creek scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Tenant organizing strength

16% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Economic stress

3.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts

1.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.2 across tracts

4.9

Risk score comparison

Dry Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dry Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.2 points from 3.7 to 3.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Dry Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06085502500	3.9	6,537	24%	$3,133
06085502902	3.8	9,155	63%	$3,501
06085503001	3.8	4,455	48%	$3,501
06085502903	3.7	5,270	33%	$3,410

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 50%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 35%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dry Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.3%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
5.9%SNAP enrollment
4.5%No health insurance
23.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Dry Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Dry Creek?

Dry Creek scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Dry Creek compare to San Jose overall?

Dry Creek scores 5.4 points lower than San Jose overall (9.2/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $3,387 vs $2,669.

What is the average rent in Dry Creek?

Average gross rent in Dry Creek is $3,387/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Dry Creek residents are renters?

16% of Dry Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in San Jose). The neighborhood has 25,417 residents.

Is Dry Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Dry Creek sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Dry Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dry Creek is census tract 06085502500 (score 3.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 3.9, a spread of 0.2 points.

How safe is Dry Creek for landlords?

Dry Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Jose as a whole (9.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Dry Creek?

Dry Creek has 25,368 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.3%), Hispanic / Latino (18.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dry Creek

4 Branham 7 tracts · pop 33,631 4.4 Gardner 7 tracts · pop 25,303 5 Communications Hill 10 tracts · pop 44,330 4 Willow Glen Place 4 tracts · pop 21,008 4.3 Fruitdale 7 tracts · pop 28,449 4.4 Washington 4 tracts · pop 20,743

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Jose

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dry Creek.

3.8 Silver Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,026 3.8 Avenida Espana 1 tracts · pop 4,900 3.8 Almaden Valley 4 tracts · pop 16,491 3.9 Alviso 1 tracts · pop 6,023 3.9 Evergreen 6 tracts · pop 27,692 4 Willow Glen Place 4 tracts · pop 21,008

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