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Neighborhood · San Jose, CA

Dry Creek Eviction Risk: High

4 census tracts · pop 25,417 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.4/10 · range 8.3–8.5

Dry Creek is a 4-tract suburb of San Jose, CA, population 25,417. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.4/10, High tier. Against a San Jose baseline of 30.1%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 9/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.1/10. At $3,387 a month, rents sit 27% over what the rest of San Jose commands. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Food insecurity affects 7.3% of adults, 10.5 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 5.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #32 of 36 neighborhoods in San Jose. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Evergreen and Almaden Valley score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $200,402.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.4
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Dry Creek vs San Jose How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.0% +46%
San Jose: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$3,387 +27%
San Jose: $2,669
Average HH income
$200,402 +42%
San Jose: $141,565
Poverty rate
3.8% -52%
San Jose: 7.9%
Renter share
16.0% -64%
San Jose: 44.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dry Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 8.3–8.5

Why Dry Creek scores 8.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Economic stress
3.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.2 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Dry Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dry Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.4Dry CreekNeighborhood9.0Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dry Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.2 points from 8.3 to 8.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Dry Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06085502500 8.5 6,537 24% $3,133
06085502902 8.4 9,155 63% $3,501
06085502903 8.3 5,270 33% $3,410
06085503001 8.3 4,455 48% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 50%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dry Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dry Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dry Creek?

Dry Creek scores 8.4/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dry Creek compare to San Jose overall?

Dry Creek scores 0.6 points lower than San Jose overall (9/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $3,387 vs $2,669.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dry Creek?

Average gross rent in Dry Creek is $3,387/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dry Creek residents are renters?

16% of Dry Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in San Jose). The neighborhood has 25,417 residents.
Q5

Is Dry Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Dry Creek sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Dry Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dry Creek is census tract 06085502500 (score 8.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.3 to 8.5, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Dry Creek for landlords?

Dry Creek carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Jose as a whole (9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Dry Creek?

Dry Creek has 25,368 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.3%), Hispanic / Latino (18.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dry Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Jose

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dry Creek.

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