Montgomery Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Rosa
Tract 06097152203 ·
Sonoma, CA · pop 3,362 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 06097152203 covers part of the Montgomery Village area of Santa Rosa, CA, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%Stable renters 33%Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,796
Renter share64.9%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$75,451
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75th percentile
#3 of 9 tracts In Montgomery Village
High
Within parent city
64th percentile
#17 of 45 tracts In Santa Rosa
Elevated
Within county
83th percentile
#22 of 121 tracts In Sonoma
High
Within state
59th percentile
#3,732 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region
Centroid at 38.4483, -122.7070 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montgomery Village scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santa Rosa
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,640 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Rosa
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Rosa
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Rosa
6.1
How Montgomery Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
37%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Montgomery Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.8%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montgomery Village
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. At $1,640 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Santa Rosa commands.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10. Against the Sonoma County average of 6.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $75,451. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06097152203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097152203?
Census tract 06097152203 in the Montgomery Village neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06097152203?
Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06097152203?
7.8% of residents in tract 06097152203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,362.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06097152203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 56th, minority 49th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 06097152203 considered part of Montgomery Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097152203 fall within Montgomery Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06097152203 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06097152203 compare to Santa Rosa overall?
Tract 06097152203 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa
Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.