Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097153103 · Sonoma, CA · pop 4,834 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Here is how census tract 06097153103, in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood of Santa Rosa eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,834. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,573 a month against an average household income of $73,393 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 20% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,530

Renter share52.0%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate18.1%

Median income$73,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4198, -122.7342 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

18.1% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,573 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Rosa

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Rosa

6.1

How Lincoln Manor Association compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Manor Association. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.8%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
21.6%SNAP enrollment
12.5%Transit barriers
16.5%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
34.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Manor Association

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sonoma County average of 5.5 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097153103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153103?

Census tract 06097153103 in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06097153103?

Median gross rent is $1,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153103?

18.1% of residents in tract 06097153103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,834.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 70th, minority 80th, housing 60th.

Is tract 06097153103 considered part of Lincoln Manor Association?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097153103 fall within Lincoln Manor Association (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06097153103 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06097153103 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097153103 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.