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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: High , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097153104 · Sonoma, CA · pop 3,888 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 8.7/10, tract 06097153104 in the Lincoln Manor Association area of Santa Rosa, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,888 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 27% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,271
Renter share73.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$66,473

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Lincoln Manor Association
Elevated
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 45 tracts In Santa Rosa
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 121 tracts In Sonoma
Very High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2,258 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4289, -122.7275 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santa Rosa
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,788 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Rosa
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Rosa
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Rosa
6.1

How Lincoln Manor Association compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Manor Association risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.78.7This tracttract 153104Santa Rosa: 7.37.3Santa Rosaparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Manor Association. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Manor Association

62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Sonoma County average of 49.9%. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $66,473 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Against the Sonoma County average of 6.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,788, 17% below the Santa Rosa average.

Housing insecurity runs 22.5% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097153104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153104?

Census tract 06097153104 in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06097153104?

Median gross rent is $1,788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153104?

16.5% of residents in tract 06097153104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,888.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 89th, minority 82th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 06097153104 considered part of Lincoln Manor Association?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097153104 fall within Lincoln Manor Association (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06097153104 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06097153104 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097153104 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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