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Sereno del Mar, California eviction risk overview
City brief · 101 residents

Sereno del Mar, CA Eviction Risk: HIGH

Sonoma County · Population 101

In 2026
Risk score
7.5
HIGH

26th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average4.2 Now7.5
8.7 2.3 1976 · score 2.6 1977 · score 2.6 1978 · score 2.5 1979 · score 2.5 1980 · score 2.5 1981 · score 2.5 1982 · score 2.6 1983 · score 2.6 1984 · score 2.5 1985 · score 2.4 1986 · score 2.3 1987 · score 2.3 1988 · score 2.5 1989 · score 2.6 1990 · score 2.6 1991 · score 2.8 1992 · score 3.5 1993 · score 3.5 1994 · score 3.5 1995 · score 3.4 1996 · score 3.4 1997 · score 3.4 1998 · score 3.5 1999 · score 3.5 2000 · score 3.5 2001 · score 3.5 2002 · score 3.5 2003 · score 3.5 2004 · score 3.7 2005 · score 3.7 2006 · score 3.8 2007 · score 3.9 2008 · score 4.6 2009 · score 4.9 2010 · score 5.0 2011 · score 5.1 2012 · score 5.1 2013 · score 5.1 2014 · score 5.1 2015 · score 5.1 2016 · score 5.4 2017 · score 5.5 2018 · score 5.6 2019 · score 6.5 2020 · score 8.7 2021 · score 8.4 2022 · score 8.1 2023 · score 7.8 2024 · score 8.0 2025 · score 7.6 2026 · score 7.5

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.8 Regional 7.8 State 6.8 Economic 1.0 Supply 1.0 Rent Control 4.9 Eviction 6.6 Tenant 1.0 Housing 4.6 7.5 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +46.2% (2024)
    7.8
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.8
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    9.0% poverty · 5.2% unemp.
    1.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,151 average · 40.9% renters
    1.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.2% of income on rent
    4.9
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    264 days filing → judgment
    6.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    40.9% renters
    1.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sereno del Mar and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Sereno del Mar compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Sonoma County
Very Low
#33 of 35 cities
Rank in county, 6th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 35 cities in Sonoma County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Low
#1242 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#1242 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Sereno del Mar risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Sereno del Mar: 7.57.5Sereno del MarThis cityCounty: 8.08.0Countyavg in countyState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.5
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.5/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 264d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,151/mo. A contested eviction takes 264 days and costs $15,653–$38,067 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 40.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 101 residents, 40.9% rent. 32% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 9.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.8 and 7.8 (Dem margin +46.2% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.6, housing court bias 4.6, rent-control risk 4.9. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 1. Supply constraint: 1. The numbers behind those: 9.0% poverty, 5.2% unemployment, 32% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Sereno del Mar sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Santa Rosa, CA · 248d · ~$24.2k all-in ($98/day) · score 8 Santa Rosa Vallejo, CA · 279d · ~$24.9k all-in ($89/day) · score 8.2 Vallejo Richmond, CA · 244d · ~$26.4k all-in ($108/day) · score 8.1 Richmond Napa, CA · 285d · ~$25.5k all-in ($89/day) · score 8.2 Napa San Rafael, CA · 292d · ~$24.3k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 San Rafael Petaluma, CA · 250d · ~$24.8k all-in ($99/day) · score 8 Petaluma Novato, CA · 252d · ~$25.1k all-in ($100/day) · score 8.2 Novato Los Angeles, CA · 273d · ~$22.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 9.9 Los Angeles San Diego, CA · 277d · ~$25.9k all-in ($94/day) · score 8.7 San Diego San Jose, CA · 261d · ~$24.2k all-in ($93/day) · score 9.2 San Jose Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Sereno del Mar
Sereno del Mar · 264d · ~$26.9k all-in ($102/day) · score 7.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Sereno del Mar, CA

Landlording in Sereno del Mar, California, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Sereno del Mar is a city of 101 residents where 40.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,151/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Sereno del Mar eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Sereno del Mar closes 264 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Sereno del Mar's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Sereno del Mar runs $15,653 to $38,067 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 264 days of typical timeline and $2,151/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 1/10 in Sereno del Mar, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.9/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Sereno del Mar: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $38,067 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Sereno del Mar

Trap · D+51.5
Sereno del Mar reflects the demographic and political composition of Sonoma County, with eviction procedure governed at the state level. Sonoma County 2020 margin: D+51.5.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims they're experiencing financial hardship?

California law makes no exceptions for financial hardship when it comes to paying rent. While empathy is important, your legal obligation as a landlord is to follow the eviction process if rent is not paid. You can offer payment plans or "cash for keys" as alternatives, but you are not legally required to.
Q2

Can I turn off utilities if a tenant won't leave?

Absolutely not. This is illegal in California and constitutes a "self-help" eviction. You could face significant fines and damages. All evictions must go through the court system.
Q3

How accurate is the 4.1/10 eviction risk score for Sereno del Mar?

The 4.1/10 score is based on a comprehensive dataset analyzing factors like eviction process difficulty, rent control risk, and economic stress across California. While Sereno del Mar is small, it operates under California's statewide tenant protections, which contribute to the moderate risk.
Q4

What's the biggest mistake landlords make in Sereno del Mar?

The biggest mistake is delaying action. Waiting to serve notices or file paperwork only extends the timeline and increases your costs. The second biggest mistake is trying to handle the Unlawful Detainer lawsuit without an attorney.
Q5

Is "cash for keys" legal in California?

Yes, "cash for keys" is a legal and often effective way to resolve a non-payment situation. It's a voluntary agreement where you pay a tenant to vacate by a certain date. Always get the agreement in writing.
Q6

Do I need to worry about rent control in Sereno del Mar?

While Sereno del Mar itself may not have local rent control ordinances due to its size, California has statewide rent control under AB 1482. This law limits annual rent increases to 5% plus the Consumer Price Index, up to a maximum of 10%. It also requires just cause for eviction for most tenancies over 12 months. So, yes, you do need to understand and comply with these statewide rules.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.5/10 places Sereno del Mar in the 26th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.