Census Tract · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Ceres Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099002605 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,520

Tract 06099002605, home to 4,520 residents in Ceres, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 76% of US census tracts.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,892 monthly, set against $59,977 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 18% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units1,470

Renter share32.9%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate12.7%

Median income$59,977

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ceres and the region

Centroid at 37.6020, -120.9421 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ceres scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ceres

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.7% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,892 rent vs county FMR

7.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ceres

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ceres

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ceres

6.5

How Ceres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.8%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
19.8%SNAP enrollment
11.5%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
36.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ceres

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ceres, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099002605

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002605?

Census tract 06099002605 in Ceres scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099002605?

Median gross rent is $1,892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002605?

12.7% of residents in tract 06099002605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,520.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 92th, minority 77th, housing 59th.

What share of households in tract 06099002605 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099002605 compare to Ceres overall?

Tract 06099002605 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Ceres at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ceres

Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.