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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Bystrom Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099002702 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 6,483 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 06099002702 sits in the Bystrom area of Ceres, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. Population here is 6,483. Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 28% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,941
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$75,635

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Bystrom
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Bystrom
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
High
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4,555 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bystrom and the region

Centroid at 37.6179, -120.9679 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bystrom scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bystrom
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bystrom
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bystrom
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bystrom
6.5

How Bystrom compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bystrom risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.4This tracttract 0027027.5Bystromparent city6.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bystrom. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bystrom

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.9% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 0.9 points above the Stanislaus County average of 6.5. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.7% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,674, close to the Ceres average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $75,635. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099002702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002702?

Census tract 06099002702 in the Bystrom neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099002702?

Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002702?

18.4% of residents in tract 06099002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 92th, minority 85th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 06099002702 considered part of Bystrom?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06099002702 fall within Bystrom (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06099002702 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06099002702 compare to Bystrom overall?

Tract 06099002702 scores 7.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Bystrom at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bystrom; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bystrom

Top eight tracts in Bystrom ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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