Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $56,954 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.

SNAP participation runs 24.6% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,762, close to the Modesto average.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.