Ceres Eviction Risk: Elevated

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. The voucher gap is 20.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,892, 15% above the Ceres average. Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.