Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Patterson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06099003203 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,869 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Patterson
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 06099003203 in Patterson, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,426
Renter share16.7%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$101,422
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Patterson and the region
Centroid at 37.4539, -121.1430 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patterson scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,707 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patterson
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patterson
5.1
How Patterson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patterson
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Stanislaus County average of 6.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.9 points. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Stanislaus County average of 47.5%.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,707, close to the Patterson average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $101,422.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003203?
Census tract 06099003203 in Patterson scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003203?
Median gross rent is $1,707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003203?
4.9% of residents in tract 06099003203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,869.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 72th, minority 82th, housing 26th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099003203 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099003203 compare to Patterson overall?
Tract 06099003203 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Patterson at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patterson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Patterson
Top eight tracts in Patterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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