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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Patterson Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06099003201 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,502 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Patterson

Tract 06099003201, home to 5,502 residents in Patterson, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $954 a month against an average household income of $79,444 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 17% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,606
Renter share32.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$79,444

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Patterson
Very High
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#5,035 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Patterson and the region

Centroid at 37.4744, -121.1228 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patterson scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patterson
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patterson
5.1

How Patterson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patterson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 003201Patterson: 7.77.7Pattersonparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patterson

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Patterson, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003201?

Census tract 06099003201 in Patterson scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099003201?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003201?

19.4% of residents in tract 06099003201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,502.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 93th, minority 87th, housing 92th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099003201 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099003201 compare to Patterson overall?

Tract 06099003201 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Patterson at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patterson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Patterson

Top eight tracts in Patterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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