Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Patterson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 06099003206 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,741 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Patterson
How risky is Patterson in Stanislaus County for landlords? Census tract 06099003206 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #38,256 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,223 monthly, set against $106,413 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$106,413
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Patterson and the region
Centroid at 37.4806, -121.1530 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patterson scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,223 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patterson
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patterson
5.1
How Patterson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.0%Food insecurity
- 21.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patterson
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Patterson, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003206?
Census tract 06099003206 in Patterson scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003206?
Median gross rent is $2,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003206?
3.6% of residents in tract 06099003206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,741.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 40th, minority 88th, housing 7th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099003206 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099003206 compare to Patterson overall?
Tract 06099003206 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Patterson at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patterson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Patterson
Top eight tracts in Patterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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