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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Patterson Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06099003206 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,741 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Patterson

Tract 06099003206 sits in Patterson, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 5,741. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 9% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$106,413

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Patterson
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
Very Low
Within state
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#8,891 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Patterson and the region

Centroid at 37.4806, -121.1530 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patterson scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,223 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patterson
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patterson
5.1

How Patterson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patterson risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0032066.0Pattersonparent city6.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patterson

The voucher gap is 42.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.2/10. Average gross rent is $2,223, 34% above the Patterson average.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 1.9 points below the Stanislaus County average of 6.5. Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $106,413.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003206?

Census tract 06099003206 in Patterson scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099003206?

Median gross rent is $2,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003206?

3.6% of residents in tract 06099003206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,741.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 40th, minority 88th, housing 7th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099003206 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099003206 compare to Patterson overall?

Tract 06099003206 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Patterson at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patterson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Patterson

Top eight tracts in Patterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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