Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Patterson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06099003204 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 2,273
Census tract 06099003204 belongs to Patterson, California. It is home to 2,273 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #47,590 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $795 a month while the average household earns $76,172 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units839
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$76,172
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Patterson and the region
Centroid at 37.4705, -121.1346 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patterson scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$795 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patterson
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patterson
5.1
How Patterson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.9%Food insecurity
- 27.0%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 19.9%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patterson
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Patterson, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 23.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003204?
Census tract 06099003204 in Patterson scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003204?
Median gross rent is $795/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003204?
13.2% of residents in tract 06099003204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,273.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 63th, minority 78th, housing 58th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099003204 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099003204 compare to Patterson overall?
Tract 06099003204 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Patterson at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patterson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Patterson
Top eight tracts in Patterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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