Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Patterson Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099003204 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 2,273
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 06099003204 in Patterson, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,273 residents. Average gross rent is $795, 52% below the Patterson average.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units839
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$76,172
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
National
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Patterson and the region
Centroid at 37.4705, -121.1346 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patterson scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$795 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patterson
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patterson
5.1
How Patterson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.9%Food insecurity
- 27.0%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 19.9%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patterson
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Stanislaus County average of 47.5%.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.9% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $76,172, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003204?
Census tract 06099003204 in Patterson scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003204?
Median gross rent is $795/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003204?
13.2% of residents in tract 06099003204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,273.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 63th, minority 78th, housing 58th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099003204 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099003204 compare to Patterson overall?
Tract 06099003204 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Patterson at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patterson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Patterson
Top eight tracts in Patterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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