Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06099003907 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 7,343 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

Turlock anchors census tract 06099003907, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,904 monthly, set against $93,777 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 12% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units2,923

Renter share27.6%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$93,777

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.5148, -120.8344 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Turlock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,904 rent vs county FMR

7.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Turlock

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Turlock

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Turlock

6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
11.9%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
35.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Turlock, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003907

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003907?

Census tract 06099003907 in Turlock scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099003907?

Median gross rent is $1,904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003907?

7.8% of residents in tract 06099003907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,343.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 66th, minority 54th, housing 54th.

What share of households in tract 06099003907 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099003907 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003907 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Turlock at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.