Turlock Eviction Risk: Elevated

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.

The voucher gap is 16.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $1,821 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Turlock commands.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $94,364. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.