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Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099003802 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,284 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

In Turlock, census tract 06099003802 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,264 a month while the average household earns $53,868 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 31% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share69.8%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$53,868

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In Turlock
High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#2,402 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,690 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.4861, -120.8577 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Turlock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,264 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Turlock
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Turlock
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Turlock
6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turlock risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 003802Turlock: 8.08.0Turlockparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Turlock, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003802?

Census tract 06099003802 in Turlock scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099003802?

Median gross rent is $1,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003802?

22.4% of residents in tract 06099003802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 97th, minority 87th, housing 96th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099003802 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099003802 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003802 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Turlock at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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