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Census Tract · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06099003802 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,284 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

With a score of 8.1/10, tract 06099003802 in Turlock, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,284. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 31% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share69.8%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$53,868

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Turlock
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#3,423 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#7,382 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.4861, -120.8577 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Turlock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,264 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Turlock
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Turlock
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Turlock
6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turlock risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.1This tracttract 0038026.7Turlockparent city6.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against the Stanislaus County average of 6.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,264, 22% below the Turlock average.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 3.1/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003802?

Census tract 06099003802 in Turlock scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099003802?

Median gross rent is $1,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003802?

22.4% of residents in tract 06099003802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 97th, minority 87th, housing 96th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099003802 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099003802 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003802 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Turlock at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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