Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099003904 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,375 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

Census tract 06099003904 covers part of Turlock, CA, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 29% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,879

Renter share47.8%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$63,690

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.4902, -120.8326 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Turlock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,123 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Turlock

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Turlock

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Turlock

6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.6%Housing insecurity
11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
26.0%SNAP enrollment
13.4%Transit barriers
14.7%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
40.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

Average gross rent is $1,123, 30% below the Turlock average. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 26.0% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $63,690.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003904

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003904?

Census tract 06099003904 in Turlock scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099003904?

Median gross rent is $1,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003904?

11.2% of residents in tract 06099003904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,375.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 81th, minority 71th, housing 65th.

What share of households in tract 06099003904 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099003904 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003904 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Turlock at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.