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Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06099003904 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,375 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

Eviction risk in Turlock centers on tract 06099003904, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,375 residents. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,123 a month against an average household income of $63,690 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 29% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,879
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$63,690

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 16 tracts In Turlock
Elevated
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
Moderate
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#4,126 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#14,316 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.4902, -120.8326 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Turlock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,123 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Turlock
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Turlock
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Turlock
6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turlock risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 003904Turlock: 8.08.0Turlockparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Turlock, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003904?

Census tract 06099003904 in Turlock scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099003904?

Median gross rent is $1,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003904?

11.2% of residents in tract 06099003904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,375.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 81th, minority 71th, housing 65th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099003904 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099003904 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003904 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Turlock at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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