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Census Tract · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06099003906 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,313 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

With a score of 8.1/10, tract 06099003906 in Turlock, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,313. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 40% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,993
Renter share78.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$52,467

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Turlock
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#3,423 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#7,382 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.5053, -120.8421 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Turlock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,395 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Turlock
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Turlock
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Turlock
6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turlock risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.1This tracttract 0039066.7Turlockparent city6.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 30.9% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 1.6 points above the Stanislaus County average of 6.5. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Food insecurity runs 29.4% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,395, 13% below the Turlock average.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $52,467.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003906

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003906?

Census tract 06099003906 in Turlock scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099003906?

Median gross rent is $1,395/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003906?

24.0% of residents in tract 06099003906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,313.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 72th, housing 84th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099003906 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099003906 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003906 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Turlock at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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