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Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099000906 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 6,756

06099000906 is a census tract in Modesto, CA. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,756. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 14% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,780
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$73,820

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 45 tracts In Modesto
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,451 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Modesto and the region

Centroid at 37.6593, -120.9333 · click any tract to drill in

Why Modesto scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Modesto
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,603 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Modesto
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Modesto
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Modesto
7.0

How Modesto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Modesto risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0009066.7Modestoparent city6.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Modesto

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,603, close to the Modesto average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $73,820.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099000906

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099000906?

Census tract 06099000906 in Modesto scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099000906?

Median gross rent is $1,603/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099000906?

9.4% of residents in tract 06099000906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,756.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099000906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 34th, minority 52th, housing 67th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099000906 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099000906 compare to Modesto overall?

Tract 06099000906 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Modesto at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Modesto eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Modesto

Top eight tracts in Modesto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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