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Neighborhood · Aurora, CO

Peninsula Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,552 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Peninsula is a 2-tract neighborhood of Aurora, CO and houses 5,552 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, in the Elevated tier. 53% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Aurora rate of 35.0%.

27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

Average gross rent is $1,678, 9% below the Aurora average of $1,835. That places it #1 of 21 neighborhoods in Aurora.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $66,481.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Peninsula vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.4% +53%
Aurora: 35.0%
Average gross rent
$1,678 -9%
Aurora: $1,835
Average HH income
$66,481 -21%
Aurora: $84,320
Poverty rate
23.3% +107%
Aurora: 11.3%
Renter share
63.4% +69%
Aurora: 37.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Peninsula and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6–6

Why Peninsula scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
23.3% below poverty line · Range 5.0–6.3 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.7 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Peninsula vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Peninsula score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Peninsula: 6.06.0PeninsulaNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.05.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Peninsula

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08005081002 6 3,626 49% $1,578
08005081001 6 1,926 62% $1,866
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Peninsula

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Peninsula?

Peninsula scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Peninsula compare to Aurora overall?

Peninsula scores 1.4 points higher than Aurora overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,678 vs $1,835.
Q3

What is the average rent in Peninsula?

Average gross rent in Peninsula is $1,678/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Peninsula residents are renters?

63% of Peninsula households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 5,552 residents.
Q5

Is Peninsula a high social-vulnerability area?

Peninsula sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Peninsula have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Peninsula is census tract 08005081002 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Peninsula for landlords?

Peninsula carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Peninsula?

Peninsula has 5,705 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (38.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (26.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Peninsula

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Peninsula.

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