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Neighborhood · Aurora, CO

Peninsula Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,552 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Peninsula is a 2-tract neighborhood of Aurora, CO and houses 5,552 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, in the Elevated tier. 53% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Aurora rate of 35.0%.

27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

Average gross rent is $1,678, 9% below the Aurora average of $1,835. That places it #1 of 21 neighborhoods in Aurora.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $66,481.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Peninsula vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.4% +53%
Aurora: 35.0%
Average gross rent
$1,678 -9%
Aurora: $1,835
Average HH income
$66,481 -21%
Aurora: $84,320
Poverty rate
23.3% +107%
Aurora: 11.3%
Renter share
63.4% +69%
Aurora: 37.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Peninsula and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6–6

Why Peninsula scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
23.3% below poverty line · Range 5.0–6.3 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.7 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Peninsula vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Peninsula score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0PeninsulaNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Peninsula

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
08005081002 6 3,626 49% $1,578
08005081001 6 1,926 62% $1,866
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Peninsula

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Peninsula?

Peninsula scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Peninsula compare to Aurora overall?

Peninsula scores 1.4 points higher than Aurora overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,678 vs $1,835.
Q3

What is the average rent in Peninsula?

Average gross rent in Peninsula is $1,678/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Peninsula residents are renters?

63% of Peninsula households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 5,552 residents.
Q5

Is Peninsula a high social-vulnerability area?

Peninsula sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Peninsula have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Peninsula is census tract 08005081002 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Peninsula for landlords?

Peninsula carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Peninsula?

Peninsula has 5,705 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (38.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (26.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Peninsula

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Peninsula.

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