Willow Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.5 to 6, a 2.5-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 1,014 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 26.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 13.5% in 2017, is well off that peak.

That places it #12 of 21 neighborhoods in Aurora. For a like-for-like read, Aurora Hills and Chaddsford score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,815, close to the Aurora average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $78,488.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.