Neighborhood · Aurora, CO

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 10,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 2.3–4.6

Willow Park is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Aurora with 3 census tracts and a population of 10,567 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,815/month sits 1% lower than the Aurora citywide average ($1,835).

Risk score

3.7

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Willow Park vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.6% +56%

Aurora: 35.0%

Average gross rent

$1,815 -1%

Aurora: $1,835

Average HH income

$78,488 -7%

Aurora: $84,320

Poverty rate

12.4% +10%

Aurora: 11.3%

Renter share

36.0% -4%

Aurora: 37.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.3–4.6

Why Willow Park scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

36% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

12.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.2 across tracts

3.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–4.7 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Willow Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Willow Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.3 points from 2.3 to 4.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

4.6 4.1 2.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Willow Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
08005081102	4.6	2,365	69%	$1,528
08005081200	4.1	5,312	56%	$1,805
08005081300	2.3	2,890	40%	$2,068

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 88%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 61%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Willow Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,014Total filings (sum)
15.30%Avg annual filing rate
26.1%Peak year (2012)
13.26%Latest filed (2017)

Frequently asked

About Willow Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Park?

Willow Park scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Willow Park compare to Aurora overall?

Willow Park scores 1.7 points lower than Aurora overall (5.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,815 vs $1,835.

What is the average rent in Willow Park?

Average gross rent in Willow Park is $1,815/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Willow Park residents are renters?

36% of Willow Park households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 10,567 residents.

Is Willow Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow Park sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Willow Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Willow Park is census tract 08005081102 (score 4.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.3 to 4.6, a spread of 2.3 points.

How safe is Willow Park for landlords?

Willow Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (5.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Park?

Willow Park has 10,599 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (32.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow Park

3.9 Aurora Hills 7 tracts · pop 33,874 3.7 Rocky Ridge 2 tracts · pop 11,602 4.2 Centerpoint 2 tracts · pop 13,637 3.8 Chaddsford 6 tracts · pop 24,556 4.7 Peninsula 2 tracts · pop 5,552 3.9 Aurora Highlands 3 tracts · pop 14,672

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow Park.

3.7 Rocky Ridge 2 tracts · pop 11,602 3.7 Chaddsford 6 tracts · pop 24,556 3.9 Aurora Hills 7 tracts · pop 33,874 3.5 The Vistas 1 tracts · pop 6,795 4 Aurora Highlands 3 tracts · pop 14,672 3.3 Aurora Knolls-Hutchison Heights 6 tracts · pop 20,449

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