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Neighborhood · Aurora, CO

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 10,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 6.0–6.5

Willow Park is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Aurora with 3 census tracts and a population of 10,567 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,815/month sits 1% lower than the Aurora citywide median ($1,835).

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Willow Park vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.6% +56%
Aurora: 35.0%
Average gross rent
$1,815 -1%
Aurora: $1,835
Average HH income
$78,488 -7%
Aurora: $84,320
Poverty rate
12.4% +10%
Aurora: 11.3%
Renter share
36.0% -4%
Aurora: 37.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.0–6.5

Why Willow Park scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
12.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.2 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–4.7 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Willow Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Willow Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Willow Park: 6.46.4Willow ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 5.95.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Willow Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.5 points from 6.0 to 6.5. Tracts are relatively uniform — conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Willow Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08005081200 6.5 5,312 56% $1,805
08005081102 6.5 2,365 69% $1,528
08005081300 6.0 2,890 40% $2,068
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Willow Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,014Total filings (sum)
  • 15.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 13.26%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Willow Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Park?

Willow Park scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Willow Park compare to Aurora overall?

Willow Park scores 0.5 points higher than Aurora overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Median rent: $1,815 vs $1,835.

Q3

What is the average rent in Willow Park?

Median gross rent in Willow Park is $1,815/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Willow Park residents are renters?

36% of Willow Park households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 10,567 residents.

Q5

Is Willow Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow Park sits in the 83th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Willow Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Willow Park is census tract 08005081200 (score 6.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.0 to 6.5 — a spread of 0.5 points.

Q7

How safe is Willow Park for landlords?

Willow Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Park?

Willow Park has 10,599 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (32.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow Park.

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