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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Peninsula Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aurora

Tract 08005081001 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 1,926 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 08005081001 covers part of the Peninsula area of Aurora, CO, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 21% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units977
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$64,338

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Peninsula
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 90 tracts In Aurora
High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#287 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.7180, -104.8229 · click any tract to drill in

Why Peninsula scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,866 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Peninsula compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Peninsula risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 081001Aurora: 4.64.6Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Peninsula. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Peninsula

62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Arapahoe County average of 50.1%. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $64,338, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Arapahoe County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Average gross rent is $1,866, close to the Aurora average.

55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005081001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005081001?

Census tract 08005081001 in the Peninsula neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005081001?

Median gross rent is $1,866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005081001?

19.9% of residents in tract 08005081001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,926.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005081001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 40th, minority 73th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 08005081001 considered part of Peninsula?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005081001 fall within Peninsula (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08005081001 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005081001 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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