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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Peninsula Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aurora

Tract 08005081002 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 3,626 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 08005081002 covers part of the Peninsula area of Aurora, CO, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,626 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 35% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,541
Renter share68.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$67,620

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Peninsula
Very Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 90 tracts In Aurora
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#287 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.7176, -104.8145 · click any tract to drill in

Why Peninsula scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,578 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Peninsula compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Peninsula risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 081002Aurora: 4.64.6Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Peninsula. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Peninsula

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Against the Arapahoe County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Average gross rent is $1,578, 14% below the Aurora average.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005081002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005081002?

Census tract 08005081002 in the Peninsula neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005081002?

Median gross rent is $1,578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005081002?

25.1% of residents in tract 08005081002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,626.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005081002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 21th, minority 84th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 08005081002 considered part of Peninsula?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005081002 fall within Peninsula (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08005081002 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005081002 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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