Aurora Eviction Risk: Elevated

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.0% against 11.3% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $41,667 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. At $1,317 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Aurora commands.

Against the Arapahoe County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Arapahoe County average of 50.1%. The filing record is not thin: 641 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2017 at 11.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Denver. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.