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Neighborhood · Denver, CO

San Rafael Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,944 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

San Rafael Historic District is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Denver with 1 census tract and a population of 1,944 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,572/month sits 14% lower than the Denver citywide average ($1,831).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
San Rafael Historic District vs Denver How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +39%
Denver: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,572 -14%
Denver: $1,831
Average HH income
$84,688 -8%
Denver: $91,681
Poverty rate
11.4% +2%
Denver: 11.2%
Renter share
58.0% +13%
Denver: 51.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why San Rafael Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
11.4% below poverty line · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

San Rafael Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

San Rafael Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.San Rafael Histori: 4.94.9San Rafael HistoriNeighborhoodParent city: 5.75.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.84.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in San Rafael Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08031002402 4.9 1,944 41% $1,572
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in San Rafael Historic District

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 141Total filings (sum)
  • 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak year (2009)
  • 2.52%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked

About San Rafael Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for San Rafael Historic District?

San Rafael Historic District scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does San Rafael Historic District compare to Denver overall?

San Rafael Historic District scores 0.8 points lower than Denver overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,572 vs $1,831.
Q3

What is the average rent in San Rafael Historic District?

Average gross rent in San Rafael Historic District is $1,572/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of San Rafael Historic District residents are renters?

58% of San Rafael Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Denver). The neighborhood has 1,944 residents.
Q5

Is San Rafael Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

San Rafael Historic District sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is San Rafael Historic District for landlords?

San Rafael Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Denver as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of San Rafael Historic District?

San Rafael Historic District has 1,857 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.5%), Hispanic / Latino (21.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near San Rafael Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Denver

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to San Rafael Historic District.

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