San Rafael Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Denver
Tract 08031002402 · Denver County, CO · pop 1,944 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 08031002402 covers part of the San Rafael Historic District area of Denver, CO, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,944. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Denver and the region
Centroid at 39.7501, -104.9756 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Rafael Historic District scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow San Rafael Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 8 yrs
- 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2009)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in San Rafael Historic District
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Denver County average of 45.4%. Court records carry 141 eviction filings across 8 observed years. At $1,572 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Denver commands.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 6.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Denver. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 08031002402
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031002402?
What is the average rent in tract 08031002402?
What is the poverty rate in tract 08031002402?
How socially vulnerable is tract 08031002402?
Is tract 08031002402 considered part of San Rafael Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08031002402?
How does tract 08031002402 compare to Denver overall?
Was tract 08031002402 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Denver
Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.