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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Happy Canyon Eviction Risk: Lower , Castle Rock

Tract 08035014123 · Douglas County, CO · pop 4,256 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up Happy Canyon in Castle Rock, census tract 08035014123 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 66% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,844 monthly, set against $117,958 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 27% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,717
Renter share48.2%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$117,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Happy Canyon
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Castle Rock
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 72 tracts In Douglas County
Elevated
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#1,242 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Rock and the region

Centroid at 39.4245, -104.8817 · click any tract to drill in

Why Happy Canyon scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,844 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Rock
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Rock
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.4

How Happy Canyon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Happy Canyon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 014123Castle Rock: 4.44.4Castle Rockparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 281Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 21.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.1%Peak (2010)
  • 94Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Happy Canyon

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Douglas County average of 5.5 and in line with the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 281 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 21.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.1% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08035014123

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014123?

Census tract 08035014123 in the Happy Canyon neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08035014123?

Median gross rent is $1,844/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014123?

4.9% of residents in tract 08035014123 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,256.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014123?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 40th, minority 42th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 08035014123 considered part of Happy Canyon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08035014123 fall within Happy Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08035014123?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 281 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08035014123 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.77% of renter households, peaking at 29.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08035014123 compare to Castle Rock overall?

Tract 08035014123 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Castle Rock at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castle Rock

Top eight tracts in Castle Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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