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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Castle Rock

Tract 08035014505 · Douglas County, CO · pop 6,200 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 08035014505 sits in the Crystal Valley Ranch area of Castle Rock eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Against Douglas County at 47.3%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 9% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,511
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$112,132

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Crystal Valley Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Castle Rock
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 72 tracts In Douglas County
High
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#683 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Rock and the region

Centroid at 39.3467, -104.8395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Valley Ranch scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,869 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Rock
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Rock
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.4

How Crystal Valley Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Valley Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0145054.4Castle Rockparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 121Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 10.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak (2010)
  • 47Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Valley Ranch

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 121 filings here across 2 tracked years. It sits 0.6 points above the Douglas County average of 4.3.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 12.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $1,869, close to the Castle Rock average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08035014505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014505?

Census tract 08035014505 in the Crystal Valley Ranch neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08035014505?

Median gross rent is $1,869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014505?

5.4% of residents in tract 08035014505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,200.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 8th, minority 33th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 08035014505 considered part of Crystal Valley Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08035014505 fall within Crystal Valley Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08035014505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 121 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08035014505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.03% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08035014505 compare to Castle Rock overall?

Tract 08035014505 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Castle Rock at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castle Rock

Top eight tracts in Castle Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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