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Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08035014407 · Douglas County, CO · pop 4,160 · 35% of tract blocks fall in Castle Rock

Census tract 08035014407 covers part of Castle Rock, CO, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,160. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 11% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,479
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$89,351

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Castle Rock
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 72 tracts In Douglas County
Very High
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#577 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Rock and the region

Centroid at 39.3309, -104.9230 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Rock scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,797 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Rock
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Rock
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.4

How Castle Rock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Rock risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0144074.4Castle Rockparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Rock

Cost burden runs 71% here against 47.3% across Douglas County. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Against the Douglas County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. At $1,797 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Castle Rock commands.

That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $89,351. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08035014407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014407?

Census tract 08035014407 in Castle Rock scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08035014407?

Median gross rent is $1,797/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014407?

3.7% of residents in tract 08035014407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,160.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 77th, minority 41th, housing 39th.
Q5

How does tract 08035014407 compare to Castle Rock overall?

Tract 08035014407 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Castle Rock at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castle Rock

Top eight tracts in Castle Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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