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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Trailhead Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Collins

Tract 08069001307 · Larimer County, CO · pop 4,546 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 08069001307 covers part of the Trailhead area of Fort Collins, CO, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,546 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 11% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,879
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$102,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Trailhead
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
Very Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#623 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.6065, -105.0337 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trailhead scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,033 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Trailhead compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Trailhead risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0013075.9Fort Collinsparent city5.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 12.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.9%Peak (2010)
  • 48Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trailhead

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Larimer County at 46.1%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

The voucher gap is 19.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,033, 20% above the Fort Collins average.

Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7/10.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 12.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069001307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069001307?

Census tract 08069001307 in the Trailhead neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069001307?

Median gross rent is $2,033/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069001307?

5.2% of residents in tract 08069001307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,546.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069001307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 35th, minority 36th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 08069001307 considered part of Trailhead?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069001307 fall within Trailhead (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069001307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069001307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.94% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069001307 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069001307 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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