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Neighborhood · Fort Collins, CO

Trailhead Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,546 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Trailhead is a one-tract neighborhood of Fort Collins, CO and houses 4,546 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 19.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,033 a month, rents sit 20% over what the rest of Fort Collins commands. Court records for this tract carry 48 eviction filings. Running hot is supply constraint at 7/10.

Against a Fort Collins baseline of 33.7%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 12.9% of renter households. That places it #21 of 27 neighborhoods in Fort Collins.

Judgments average 7.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Stone Ridge and Peachtree score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Trailhead vs Fort Collins How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.7% +12%
Fort Collins: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$2,033 +20%
Fort Collins: $1,690
Average HH income
$102,188 +22%
Fort Collins: $83,598
Poverty rate
5.2% -67%
Fort Collins: 16.0%
Renter share
17.1% -65%
Fort Collins: 48.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Trailhead and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Trailhead scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Risk score comparison

Trailhead vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Trailhead score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1TrailheadNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Trailhead

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08069001307 5.1 4,546 38% $2,033
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Trailhead

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings (sum)
  • 12.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.9%Peak year (2010)
  • 12.94%Latest filed (2010)
Frequently asked

About Trailhead

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Trailhead?

Trailhead scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Trailhead compare to Fort Collins overall?

Trailhead scores 0.8 points lower than Fort Collins overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,033 vs $1,690.
Q3

What is the average rent in Trailhead?

Average gross rent in Trailhead is $2,033/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Trailhead residents are renters?

17% of Trailhead households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Fort Collins). The neighborhood has 4,546 residents.
Q5

Is Trailhead a high social-vulnerability area?

Trailhead sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Trailhead for landlords?

Trailhead carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Collins as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Trailhead?

Trailhead has 4,508 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.5%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%), Other / Multiracial (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Trailhead

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Collins

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Trailhead.

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